COMING FIRST · MOMENTUM STUDY
What predicts a medical operator's next clinic opening?
Not their size. Not their brand. The single best predictor is how recently and how often
they've just opened — expansion is serial and bursty, recency has a ~15-month
half-life, and “three openings in two years” is the line between a maybe and a mover.
COMING · THE BACKTEST
We replayed three years of clinic openings to test our model.
926 real expansions, data frozen at each January 1st, scored blind — including on cities
the model had never seen. What "44–273× better than scanning the map" actually means,
and where the model still misses.
POSTS LAND HERE AS STUDIES CLEAR REVIEW. NO NEWSLETTER, NO GATE.